Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -125 DRKE +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -4.6 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -3.8 (+0.8) | 133.2 (+9.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -3.1 (+0.1) | 129.9 (+13.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -1.3 (-1.7) | 131.9 (+11.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -2.6 (-0.4) | 134.8 (+8.2) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2020 | DRKE 80 – 70 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-1 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 60.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#98) | 9.2 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#99) | 3.75 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#92) | 5.48 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#101) | 0.660 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 36.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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