Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | UND +2500 ALA -15000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +7 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | ALA -23.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -10.9 (+3.9) | 164.7 (+22.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -11.1 (+4.1) | 169.8 (+17.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -12.1 (+5.1) | 160.0 (+27.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -12.9 (+5.9) | 164.8 (+22.2) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | ALA 91 – 62 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 90.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#313) | 18.4 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#290) | 3.15 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#299) | 4.55 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#347) | 0.699 (#3) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 43.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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