Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU +110 UNCO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -5.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -2.1 (-12.1) | 146.6 (+3.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -3.3 (-13.3) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -1.8 (-11.8) | 146.8 (+3.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -1.8 (-11.8) | 148.4 (+1.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 70 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#291) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#340) | -1.30 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.82 (#334) | -2.20 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#213) | 0.490 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 20.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.1% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 80.1% | 62.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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