Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -6.7 (+24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -1.5 (+19.5) | 130.6 (+7.4) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -2.4 (+20.4) | 131.4 (+6.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -1.5 (+19.5) | 130.6 (+7.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.4 (+20.4) | 130.6 (+7.4) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | NEV 91 – 75 SHSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 61.7 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#69) | 19.8 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#34) | 4.91 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#36) | 7.08 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#15) | 0.699 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 12.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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