Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM +100 PSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +7 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | PSU -1.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+59.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.0 (+6.0) | 136.5 (+58.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.6 (+6.4) | 136.5 (+58.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.1 (+5.9) | 135.9 (+59.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PSU -0.0 (+7.0) | 136.7 (+58.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2024 | CLEM 75 – 67 PSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#170) | 8.1 (#53) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#201) | 2.11 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#201) | 3.18 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#205) | 0.633 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 42.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 17.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 12.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 14.4% |
Game Analysis
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