Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -1400 KENN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +20 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -10.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.9 (+9.1) | 147.6 (+20.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.2 (+7.8) | 150.8 (+17.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -10.5 (+9.5) | 145.0 (+23.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -10.9 (+9.1) | 145.9 (+22.1) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#81) | 0.2 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#93) | 0.78 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#87) | 0.78 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#52) | 0.549 (#98) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 33.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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