Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Hofstra Pride
56 – 71
FINAL Neutral Basketball Hall of Fame Invitational
Massachusetts Minutemen
Barclays Center (Neutral) · December 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -1.5 Away covered
O/U 146.0 Under
Money HOF +110 / MASS -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total HOF win
Actual MASS +15 127 Lost
Massey HOF -0.4 (-15.4) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-23.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML HOF -0.2 (-15.2) 145.2 (-18.2) 48% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MASS -0.6 (-14.4) 144.6 (-17.6) 41% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MASS -0.0 (-15.0) 145.2 (-18.2) 42% ✓
Baseline ML MASS -0.3 (-14.7) 145.2 (-18.2) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 17, 2024 HOF 75 – 71 MASS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HOF MASS
Overall 25-10 15-16
Conference 16-2 6-12
Home 11-2 8-6
Away 11-5 3-8
Neutral 3-3 4-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 69.8
Avg Pts Against 66.9 71.4
Massey 4.2 (#98) 3.9 (#103)
Bradley-Terry 1.97 (#44) 1.72 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.46 (#52) 1.74 (#84)
RPI 0.658 (#8) 0.579 (#64)
Shooting & Four Factors HOF MASS
FG% 45.5% 44.0%
3PT% 37.0% 36.8%
REB / G 30.3 37.2
OREB / G 5.9 12.0
AST / TO 1.04 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 49.1%
TOV% 16.3% 19.8%
ORB% 18.4% 32.0%
FT Rate 19.8% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 21.6%
DRB% 68.0% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 15.6% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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