Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SC -110 ECU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -6.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -3.7 (-4.3) | 135.4 (-15.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -3.7 (-4.3) | 134.4 (-14.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -4.4 (-3.6) | 134.9 (-14.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -3.9 (-4.1) | 136.5 (-16.5) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | SC 75 – 68 ECU |
| Dec 9, 2023 | SC 68 – 62 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | -2.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#200) | -0.04 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#233) | -0.02 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#199) | 0.474 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.7% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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