Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -280 PRIN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +1 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | RUTG -5.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -2.9 (-3.9) | 151.2 (+13.8) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -2.8 (-3.8) | 150.2 (+14.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -2.4 (-3.4) | 150.3 (+14.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -2.2 (-3.2) | 151.6 (+13.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | PRIN 68 – 61 RUTG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-6 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#88) | 0.7 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#86) | 0.83 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#88) | 0.86 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#89) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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