Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -4000 NIA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +19 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -21.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -18.1 (+0.9) | 128.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -18.9 (+0.1) | 129.7 (-6.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -19.6 (-0.6) | 129.8 (-6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -21.0 (-2.0) | 129.6 (-6.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | SBU 94 – 60 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#66) | -8.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#29) | -0.77 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#31) | -1.76 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#43) | 0.438 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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