Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -5000 FDU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -13.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -15.0 (-1.0) | 140.0 (-6.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.1 (+2.9) | 140.2 (-6.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -11.5 (+2.5) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -11.3 (+2.7) | 139.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | MINN 60 – 43 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-9 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#155) | -9.5 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#167) | -2.09 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#148) | -2.76 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#208) | 0.384 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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