Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -100000 CAN +4000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +33 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -26.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -21.4 (+11.6) | 145.6 (+5.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -20.6 (+12.4) | 144.4 (+6.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -23.6 (+9.4) | 141.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -23.7 (+9.3) | 144.2 (+6.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 14-4 | 1-12 |
| Away | 9-3 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#80) | -14.7 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#49) | -3.81 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#65) | -5.12 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#34) | 0.370 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 46.7% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 27.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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