Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | PAC -195 IDHO +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +23 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | PAC -5.0 (-28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -2.9 (-25.9) | 139.3 (+27.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.6 (-25.6) | 139.9 (+27.1) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -3.9 (-26.9) | 138.2 (+28.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.3 (-26.3) | 139.3 (+27.7) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | IDHO 83 – 53 PAC |
| Nov 26, 2022 | IDHO 84 – 81 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#268) | -6.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#302) | -0.93 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#274) | -1.14 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#288) | 0.461 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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