Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UNI +135 WSU -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +8 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -0.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -0.3 (-8.3) | 145.9 (-1.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -2.1 (-5.9) | 144.2 (-0.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -0.2 (-8.2) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -0.4 (-8.4) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#75) | 7.7 (#79) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#107) | 2.05 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#98) | 2.64 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#107) | 0.608 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.4% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 43.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.3% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.