Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +320 AKR -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +18 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -8.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-37.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -6.9 (-11.1) | 147.2 (-29.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -9.1 (-8.9) | 149.8 (-31.8) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -7.8 (-10.2) | 148.5 (-30.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -6.1 (-11.9) | 148.9 (-30.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | AKR 85 – 72 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 17-1 |
| Home | 8-1 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-15 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#327) | -1.6 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#333) | -0.29 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#335) | -0.41 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#233) | 0.487 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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