Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -135 UVU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | UVU -0.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -0.3 (-2.3) | 139.2 (-13.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -0.8 (-2.8) | 137.9 (-11.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.2 (-3.2) | 137.5 (-11.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -0.6 (-2.6) | 138.5 (-12.5) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | UVU 90 – 74 WEB |
| Dec 6, 2023 | UVU 70 – 54 WEB |
| Jan 2, 2021 | WEB 70 – 62 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-1 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-0 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 68.9 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#219) | 1.7 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#234) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#243) | -0.29 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#243) | 0.499 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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