Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -195 PRST +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -7.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-37.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -5.6 (-6.6) | 142.2 (-25.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -5.1 (-6.1) | 147.1 (-30.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -5.5 (-6.5) | 147.9 (-30.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -5.0 (-6.0) | 146.9 (-29.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | PRST 93 – 80 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#175) | -5.0 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#195) | -0.70 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#198) | -0.49 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#178) | 0.437 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 34.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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