Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -29.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +35 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -24.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -22.0 (+13.0) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -23.1 (+11.9) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -24.0 (+11.0) | 133.9 (-0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -23.6 (+11.4) | 133.4 (-0.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#28) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#41) | -3.42 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#44) | -4.77 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#43) | 0.402 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.