Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Colonial Life Arena · December 22, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SC -13.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Money SC -1800 / RAD +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual SC +26 122 Won
Massey SC -11.2 (+14.8) — —
Massey Totals — 139.7 (-17.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 64% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 71% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -12.0 (+14.0) 140.2 (-18.2) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -11.6 (+14.4) 138.9 (-16.9) 83% ✓
Baseline ML SC -11.2 (+14.8) 140.0 (-18.0) 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -10.6 (+15.4) 141.1 (-19.1) 84% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 19, 2025 SC 87 – 58 RAD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC RAD
Overall 12-20 20-13
Conference 2-16 9-7
Home 10-8 10-3
Away 1-10 7-9
Neutral 1-2 3-1
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 71.7
Avg Pts Against 71.4 71.0
Massey 5.6 (#91) -1.4 (#178)
Bradley-Terry 0.93 (#100) 1.14 (#87)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.29 (#96) 1.28 (#98)
RPI 0.541 (#109) 0.544 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors SC RAD
FG% 46.3% 42.9%
3PT% 35.6% 33.1%
REB / G 36.7 38.2
OREB / G 9.7 12.7
AST / TO 1.33 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.5% 48.9%
TOV% 16.0% 18.5%
ORB% 29.4% 35.6%
FT Rate 30.0% 30.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 16.5%
DRB% 71.1% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 21.0% 27.0%

Game Analysis

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