Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -1600 PV +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +18 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -14.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.7 (-54.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -13.9 (+4.1) | 154.3 (-44.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -12.8 (+5.2) | 153.0 (-43.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -14.3 (+3.7) | 153.8 (-43.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -14.0 (+4.0) | 151.5 (-41.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | RICE 82 – 56 PV |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RICE 70 – 62 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-8 | 3-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L4 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#166) | -11.6 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.73 (#117) | -3.08 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#117) | -4.17 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#161) | 0.395 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 37.5% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 61.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 56.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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