Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
72
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Loyola Chicago
Ramblers
Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +250 LUC -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | LUC -6.3 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -5.3 (+6.3) | 132.7 (+10.3) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -5.7 (+6.7) | 132.9 (+10.1) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -6.3 (+7.3) | 132.9 (+10.1) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -5.4 (+6.4) | 134.4 (+8.6) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 6-11 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#243) | 2.2 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#220) | 1.88 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#199) | 2.01 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#183) | 0.550 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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