Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LMU -290 UNA +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LMU +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UNA -0.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -2.9 (+13.1) | 140.6 (+13.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -2.0 (+14.0) | 138.9 (+15.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -1.9 (+14.1) | 138.2 (+15.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -1.9 (+14.1) | 139.4 (+14.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | LMU 91 – 57 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#209) | 2.1 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#142) | -0.06 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#140) | -0.02 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.484 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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