Loyola Chicago
Ramblers
68
–
77
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Charleston
Cougars
Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | LUC -120 COFC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -0.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LUC -0.3 (-9.3) | 142.6 (+2.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -1.4 (-10.4) | 143.8 (+1.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -0.9 (-9.9) | 145.9 (-0.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LUC -0.8 (-9.8) | 144.5 (+0.5) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LUC | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | 0.8 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#97) | 1.34 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#91) | 1.50 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#154) | 0.586 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LUC | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.