Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
74
–
80
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Oregon State
Beavers
Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +400 ORST -550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -15.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -13.1 (+7.1) | 130.6 (+23.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORST -11.3 (+5.3) | 130.5 (+23.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -13.8 (+7.8) | 129.2 (+24.8) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -13.9 (+7.9) | 132.2 (+21.8) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#225) | 12.4 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#168) | 2.07 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#185) | 2.98 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#122) | 0.569 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.2% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.