Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CLT +210 COFC -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -5.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -4.3 (+1.3) | 148.7 (+16.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -4.5 (+1.5) | 148.1 (+16.9) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.2 (+2.2) | 145.9 (+19.1) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.7 (+1.7) | 147.4 (+17.6) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2025 | COFC 74 – 67 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#233) | 1.5 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#218) | 1.59 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#214) | 1.84 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#244) | 0.603 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 38.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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