Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | GT -10000 AAMU +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +43 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | GT -22.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -17.4 (+25.6) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -19.3 (+23.7) | 149.6 (-8.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -20.4 (+22.6) | 148.7 (-7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -19.1 (+23.9) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | GT 70 – 49 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#144) | -17.5 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | -3.39 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#244) | -4.32 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#253) | 0.340 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 57.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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