Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COLU -600 FAIR +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | COLU -16.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -10.6 (+2.4) | 150.9 (+6.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -13.3 (-0.3) | 150.5 (+6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -14.2 (-1.2) | 149.4 (+7.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -15.5 (-2.5) | 149.6 (+7.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | COLU 106 – 77 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-13 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#121) | -9.7 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#67) | -1.32 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#91) | -2.27 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#121) | 0.430 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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