Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | NU -1500 NE +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +25 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | NU -14.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -13.3 (+11.7) | 136.7 (+8.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -15.6 (+9.4) | 134.8 (+10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -13.3 (+11.7) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -13.3 (+11.7) | 134.8 (+10.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#51) | 0.9 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#63) | 0.20 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#49) | 0.26 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#43) | 0.493 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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