Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +350 DEL -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -9.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -8.1 (+16.1) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 19% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -8.6 (+16.6) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -9.0 (+17.0) | 136.0 (-4.0) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -7.9 (+15.9) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | MONM 92 – 83 DEL |
| Jan 4, 2025 | DEL 84 – 64 MONM |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DEL 84 – 80 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-15 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#357) | -2.3 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#344) | -0.17 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#343) | -0.10 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#287) | 0.494 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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