Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -2500 FGCU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +16 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -24.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -21.2 (-5.2) | 141.7 (-23.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -16.8 (-0.8) | 145.1 (-27.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#18) | 2.5 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#132) | -0.38 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#108) | -0.47 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#18) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | — | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | — | 30.0% |
| REB / G | — | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | — | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | — | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | — | 47.4% |
| TOV% | — | 12.5% |
| ORB% | — | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | — | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | — | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | — | 10.7% |
| DRB% | — | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | — | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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