Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UND -6.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -2.0 (-0.0) | 137.9 (+18.1) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -1.4 (+0.6) | 136.1 (+19.9) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | MONT 79 – 75 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-11 | 14-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#340) | -7.9 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#345) | -0.39 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.45 (#347) | -0.60 (#217) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 48.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 33.8% | 37.3% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 11.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 14.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 63.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 91.4% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 43.4% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
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