Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | MONM -360 LEH +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -27.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -17.4 (-7.4) | 148.0 (+12.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -15.3 (-5.3) | 146.7 (+13.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -16.5 (-6.5) | 145.7 (+14.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -17.8 (-7.8) | 145.5 (+14.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | MONM 76 – 62 LEH |
| Dec 5, 2024 | LEH 90 – 63 MONM |
| Nov 22, 2023 | MONM 88 – 79 LEH |
| Nov 28, 2022 | LEH 80 – 76 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#22) | -6.3 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#21) | -3.22 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#15) | -5.23 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.738 (#43) | 0.312 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 26.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 44.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.0% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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