Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +3 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -4.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.5 (-6.5) | 155.7 (+19.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -4.0 (-7.0) | 151.3 (+23.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -3.0 (-6.0) | 154.8 (+20.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -3.3 (-6.3) | 156.3 (+18.7) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | BALL 74 – 73 MASS |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MASS 79 – 71 BALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#152) | -3.3 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#86) | -1.25 (#274) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#108) | -2.31 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#48) | 0.453 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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