Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FRES +7 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -15.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-42.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.4 (-15.4) | 145.9 (-34.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -6.9 (-13.9) | 144.5 (-33.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -8.0 (-15.0) | 149.3 (-38.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.2 (-15.2) | 147.8 (-36.8) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | SCU 81 – 66 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 8-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 59.6 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#40) | -5.1 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#27) | 1.57 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#29) | 2.37 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#18) | 0.476 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 42.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 81.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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