Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH +125 TTU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +28 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TTU -1.4 (-26.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -0.1 (-27.9) | 149.6 (+8.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -0.6 (-27.4) | 149.0 (+9.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -1.9 (-26.1) | 148.9 (+9.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -1.0 (-27.0) | 149.8 (+8.2) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | TTU 88 – 74 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 15-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 1-9 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#55) | 15.5 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#119) | 0.94 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.12 (#101) | 1.78 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#203) | 0.539 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 37.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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