Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -800 FOR +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +1 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | HALL -18.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -12.1 (-13.1) | 130.5 (-17.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -9.8 (-10.8) | 132.0 (-19.0) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Away | 0-11 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 78.5 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#212) | -5.2 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#142) | -0.38 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#141) | -0.55 (#220) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.8% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 37.5% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 25.5% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 54.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 61.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.1% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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