Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -6.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -4.6 (+9.4) | 129.5 (-7.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -6.3 (+7.7) | 128.7 (-6.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.0 (+10.0) | 131.4 (-9.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.1 (+9.9) | 130.7 (-8.7) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | NDSU 90 – 68 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 3-13 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#289) | -8.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#224) | -0.65 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | -0.72 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#223) | 0.458 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.9% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 41.7% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.0% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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