Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | OU -140 TA&M +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -1.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.7 (-2.7) | 142.5 (+15.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -1.0 (-3.0) | 140.8 (+17.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -1.1 (-3.1) | 142.7 (+15.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -1.0 (-3.0) | 143.2 (+14.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | OU 83 – 63 TA&M |
| Feb 22, 2026 | TA&M 75 – 71 OU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | TA&M 83 – 76 OU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | TA&M 75 – 68 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#54) | 15.8 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#6) | 3.19 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.02 (#9) | 4.07 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#42) | 0.653 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 42.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 16.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 44.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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