That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
JMA Wireless Dome · December 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SYR -14.5 Away covered
O/U 164.0 Under
Money SYR -1450 / COR +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total SYR win
Actual SYR +12 148 Won
Massey SYR -9.1 (+2.9) — —
Massey Totals — 174.4 (-26.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 67% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SYR -7.3 (+4.7) 164.5 (-16.5) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SYR -9.0 (+3.0) 161.3 (-13.3) 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SYR -7.4 (+4.6) 162.1 (-14.1) 75% ✓
Baseline ML SYR -8.1 (+3.9) 162.7 (-14.7) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 28, 2024 SYR 82 – 72 COR
Dec 6, 2023 SYR 81 – 70 COR
Dec 17, 2022 SYR 78 – 63 COR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SYR COR
Overall 16-17 15-11
Conference 9-11 7-7
Home 11-5 10-2
Away 3-8 5-8
Neutral 2-4 0-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.4 76.2
Avg Pts Against 75.1 76.2
Massey 5.8 (#92) 1.1 (#144)
Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#125) 0.75 (#116)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.56 (#136) 0.68 (#129)
RPI 0.539 (#111) 0.490 (#188)
Shooting & Four Factors SYR COR
FG% 45.6% 47.2%
3PT% 38.1% 36.6%
REB / G 36.5 39.1
OREB / G 10.1 9.8
AST / TO 1.32 1.34
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.7% 55.8%
TOV% 16.0% 18.1%
ORB% 28.0% 27.2%
FT Rate 22.7% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.5% 48.8%
Opp TOV% 18.0% 15.0%
DRB% 67.2% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 17.0% 18.8%

Game Analysis

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