They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Ohio State Buckeyes
71 – 73
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Big Ten Conference · Schottenstein Center · January 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Under
Money OSU -150 / ORE +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual ORE +2 144 Lost
Massey OSU -4.5 (-6.5) — —
Massey Totals — 154.8 (-10.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 34% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OSU -4.2 (-6.2) 153.2 (-9.2) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -2.9 (-4.9) 151.7 (-7.7) 63% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -3.4 (-5.4) 151.5 (-7.5) 66% ✗
Baseline ML OSU -4.1 (-6.1) 152.7 (-8.7) 73% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 9, 2026 OSU 72 – 62 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU ORE
Overall 17-15 25-10
Conference 9-11 12-8
Home 11-6 12-4
Away 4-7 7-4
Neutral 2-2 6-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.8 76.5
Avg Pts Against 73.5 70.9
Massey 15.0 (#27) 14.5 (#28)
Bradley-Terry 2.11 (#50) 3.52 (#12)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.04 (#41) 4.40 (#16)
RPI 0.596 (#41) 0.663 (#8)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU ORE
FG% 49.0% 46.6%
3PT% 37.7% 34.8%
REB / G 35.7 37.5
OREB / G 9.1 11.0
AST / TO 1.33 1.36
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.0% 53.2%
TOV% 15.4% 16.0%
ORB% 28.7% 32.9%
FT Rate 27.2% 28.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.9% 47.7%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 18.7%
DRB% 69.9% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 29.1% 17.6%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.