Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -750 MTST +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +20 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -16.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -13.1 (+6.9) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -10.5 (+9.5) | 148.8 (+9.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#58) | 2.3 (#119) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.78 (#18) | -0.40 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#21) | -0.53 (#194) |
| RPI | — | 0.500 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 46.2% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 42.6% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 37.7% |
Game Analysis
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