Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | RICE +230 OHIO -280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | OHIO -5.2 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -4.6 (+3.6) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -5.4 (+4.4) | 142.8 (-13.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -4.5 (+3.5) | 144.6 (-15.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -4.5 (+3.5) | 143.3 (-14.3) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#212) | 2.9 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#203) | 0.74 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | 0.92 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#210) | 0.542 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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