Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | VILL -220 MICH +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +8 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -5.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -4.0 (+4.0) | 133.3 (-15.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -4.4 (+3.6) | 131.7 (-13.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -5.4 (+2.6) | 135.2 (-17.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -5.4 (+2.6) | 133.4 (-15.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2025 | MICH 89 – 61 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#11) | 12.3 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#4) | 2.17 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#5) | 2.68 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#3) | 0.586 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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