Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MICH -29.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -18.8 (-8.8) | 149.6 (+2.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -19.9 (-9.9) | 150.3 (+1.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -19.6 (-9.6) | 151.0 (+1.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 4, 2025 | MICH 121 – 78 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-4 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.1 | 81.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#119) | -15.9 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#71) | -2.04 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#65) | -2.92 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#12) | 0.375 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.1% | 27.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 23.9% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.30 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.3% | 33.2% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 63.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 8.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 8.5% |
Game Analysis
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