Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
| Money | GONZ -400 WVU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -2.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -0.4 (+4.6) | 155.2 (+13.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -0.6 (+5.6) | 150.8 (+18.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -1.0 (+6.0) | 153.2 (+15.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -0.6 (+5.6) | 151.7 (+17.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2024 | WVU 86 – 78 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 11-6 |
| Home | 12-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-0 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#11) | 8.9 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#14) | 2.87 (#3) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#12) | 4.57 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.750 (#10) | 0.730 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 58.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 63.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 44.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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