Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | UGA -1600 JAX +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +33 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -6.3 (+26.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -4.8 (+28.2) | 143.5 (+19.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -4.9 (+28.1) | 144.0 (+19.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2024 | UGA 102 – 56 JAX |
| Dec 8, 2021 | UGA 69 – 58 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-9 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#149) | 2.3 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#121) | 0.87 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#124) | 1.26 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#247) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.7% | 47.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 40.0% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 40.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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