Betting Lines
| Spread | TXST -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | TXST -2000 UIW +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXST +8 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TXST -18.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXST -13.4 (-5.4) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXST -9.1 (-1.1) | 137.7 (-1.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXST -11.2 (-3.2) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXST -12.1 (-4.1) | 141.0 (-5.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | TXST 75 – 57 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#116) | -7.4 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#137) | -2.20 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#152) | -3.20 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.342 (#222) | 0.250 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXST | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 48.3% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 17.2% | 17.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.7% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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