Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -20.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
| Money | GTWN -4000 COPP +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +32 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -7.7 (+24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -7.4 (+24.6) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -5.8 (+26.2) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -5.9 (+26.1) | 140.9 (-12.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -5.8 (+26.2) | 141.3 (-13.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | GTWN 97 – 67 COPP |
| Dec 28, 2024 | GTWN 83 – 53 COPP |
| Dec 13, 2023 | GTWN 71 – 54 COPP |
| Nov 9, 2022 | GTWN 99 – 89 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#190) | -3.4 (#200) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#147) | -2.06 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#98) | -3.41 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#72) | 0.319 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 39.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 18.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.2% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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