Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ORST -1300 PORT +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +1 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -11.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORST -8.1 (-9.1) | 145.7 (+27.3) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -8.2 (-9.2) | 147.4 (+25.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -9.4 (-10.4) | 147.2 (+25.8) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | PORT 82 – 76 ORST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PORT 84 – 72 ORST |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ORST 89 – 79 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 6-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 0-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-6 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 85.1 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#189) | -7.9 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#247) | -1.84 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#231) | -3.29 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#202) | 0.232 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 15.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 40.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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