Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +17 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -6.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.8 (-42.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -6.0 (+11.0) | 153.4 (-36.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -10.2 (+6.8) | 152.0 (-35.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -8.6 (+8.4) | 152.4 (-35.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2024 | PITT 83 – 64 GWEB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-12 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#120) | 2.7 (#108) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#167) | -0.41 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#216) | -0.17 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#106) | 0.430 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | GWEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 53.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 63.2% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 4.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 63.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 38.6% | 13.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 5.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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